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Showing posts with label BUSTS. Show all posts
Showing posts with label BUSTS. Show all posts
Friday, 22 August 2014
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2014 Fantasy Football Wide Receiver Busts

It's a sad day at the FFChamps.com Headquarters when two of our favorite receivers over the last 10-15 season makes the Bust List. Nonetheless we have to call a Spade a  Spade and for that reason Andre Johnson and Reggie Wayne find themselves in the article. We also tell you some other veteran receivers to stay away from plus two rookies on our DO NOT DRAFT LIST.

Andre Johnson, Houston Texans: If you play in Non-PPR leagues, Johnson is practically useless. He just doesn’t get in the end zone and has never, we repeat, NEVER had a season with double digit TDs. At age 33 we don’t expect Johnson to completely drop-off, in fact we still project him to finish with over 85 catches, but again in Non-PPR leagues, those receptions are worthless. Remember Commandment Number 1: Know They Scoring System. 

Percy Harvin, Seattle Seahawks: Other than a few snaps in the closing weeks of the regular season and some spectacular plays in the Super Bowl, we never really got to see Percy's true playmaking ability in a Seattle uniform. Without a doubt, he's Russell Wilson's top target but Harvin has to stay healthy, something he’s NEVER done in his 5 year career. Something else Harvin has NEVER done…surpass 1,000 yards. It’s hard to believe a player with his reputation isn’t even a 1,000 yard receiver, nonetheless it’s true. 

Jeremy Maclin, Philadelphia Eagles: If he can come back from last year's ACL tear and stay healthy in 2014, Maclin would finally be able to live up to his potential, especially in Chip Kelly's Offense. With DeSean Jackson off the squad, Maclin is now the Number 1 in Philly's Offense…but a brief injury scare in the team’s 3rd preseason game just reminded us how injury prone Maclin truly is. Like Percy, Maclin has NEVER surpassed 1,000 yards. If you draft him as your WR3 that’s fine, but there’s absolutely no need to reach for him or feel confident if he’s your Number 2. Oh and by the way, Maclin has the 2nd hardest schedule for Wide Receivers based on 2013’s defensive points allowed.

Cecil Shorts, Jacksonville Jaguars: A talented receiver on a team with a poor QB, Shorts is unfortunately capped out by Chad Henne or rookie Blake Bortles. The Jags drafted two wide receivers in the 2nd round this year and Coach Gus Bradley wants to get them on the field which shouldn’t be difficult because Shorts is often injured. In fact, he’s missed 3/4 of Training Camp because of a hamstring strain. A similar injury kept him out of 3 games in 2013. His 7 TD and nearly 1,000 yard season from 2012 seems like his peak, all down-hill from here.

Mike Evans, Tampa Bay Buccaneers: The 2nd wide receiver taken in the 2014 draft, Evans is a big, tall, and strong athlete, just like Josh Mccown had in Chicago with Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffrey. He's a bit raw in his route running but physicality will make up for it. That being said, Rookie WRs tend to struggle, hell even Calvin Johnson had less than 50 catches and only 4 TDs as a rookie, and he’s MEGATRON. There are some rookie WRs we like (Watkins, Cooks, Benjamin, Matthews) but want our members to pump the breaks on Evans for 2014. 

Odell Beckham Jr, New York Giants: The Giants wanted to add some playmakers to their "broken" Offense via the draft and did just that by selecting the former LSU star with the Number 12 overall pick. He's quick, elusive, and can jump through the roof, but he has ZERO reps with the Giants 1st team Offense this summer thanks to a nagging hamstring injury that dates back to Mini-Camp. Beckham may have been the 3rd WR off the board in the 2014 NFL Draft, but he shouldn’t even be drafted in your 2014 Fantasy Re-Draft League. 

Danny Amendola, New England Patriots: Expected to replace Wes Welker as Tom Brady's most reliable target in 2013, Amendola ended up with a groin injury early in the season which put a serious cap on his fantasy production. Amendola is quickly joining the likes of Darren McFadden as a player that can't be trusted due to his fragility. The last time he played a full 16 games season was in 2010, since then he's played in 1 game in 2011, 11 games in 2012, and 12 games in 2013.  

Reggie Wayne, Indianapolis Colts: It really stings to put Wayne on our 2014 WR Bust list. He’s been one of our favorite (and most productive) fantasy receivers over the last 10 years. But father time is catching up to the veteran pass catcher. An ACL tear forced him to miss half the season which was the 1st time he’s missed a game since his rookie year in 2001. Wayne’s a player who consistently had close to double digit TDs, but he hasn’t found the end-zone more than 6 times in any of the last four seasons. He’s 35 years old now and still the Colts best route runner, but with so many other weapons on the roster, Wayne will be pressed for targets from Andrew Luck.

Dwayne Bowe, Kansas City Chiefs: He entered camp 10 pounds lighter than last year, which is good news since Bowe looked slow in 2013 but a busted finger and a suspension to start the year is just the beginning of why we are labeling him a bust this year. How’s this for some alarming stats: Back-to-Back years with less than 60 receptions. Back-to-back years with less than 6 TDs. Back-to-Back years with less than 825 receiving yards. He was a monster in 2010 with 15 TDs, but you know what…that was 5 freaking years ago!!!

 

 

 






Thursday, 21 August 2014
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2014 Fantasy Football Running Back BUSTS

Long gone are the days of running backs carrying the rock for 300, 350, 400 times in a season. It just doesn’t happen anymore. Combine that premise with the fact RBs take the most hits of any skilled position and thus get injured often and it shouldn’t come as a shock to see such volatility at the position. One year a player will finish in the Top 3 and the next he’ll finish outside the Top 30. It’s the nature of the beast. While we as Fantasy Managers must feed that beast to draft a consistent and dominant fantasy team, we can also avoid the ones who are likely to give us the most trouble. Sometimes it’s better to be a year early than a year too late. This is our attempt to help you avoid those RB grenades that would typically blow up your team.

Arian Foster, Texans:  We hope Foster's back injury is a thing of the past, especially since it made him miss seven games in 2013. Unfortunately, we don’t think it is. Back surgery for a running back is practically the kiss of death. Add in the fact Foster sat out the 1st half of preseason and Training Camp with a sore hamstring, leads us to believe he’s at the point of a body meltdown.  When healthy, he's the focal point of an offense without a very exciting QB, meaning he'll get a ton of touches both running and catching, but what good would that do if he’s only on the field for 10 games? We know he’s productive when healthy, but at this point we just don’t trust him to stay at 100% for all 16 games.

Trent Richardson, Indianapolis Colts: We don’t want to believe this one but have to trust what we are seeing. T-Rich just isn’t running the ball like he once did at Alabama or during his rookie season with the Browns. We gave him a pass last year because he was learning a new system, but even in the 2014 Preseason he just seems clueless when hitting the right hole or finding the open running lane. Very disappointing because he’s on such a great Offense and could really shine if things just started to “click” again for him.

Ray Rice, Baltimore Ravens: Suspended for the 1st two games of the season because of the altercation/assault on his then fiancee (now wife), Rice is no longer the Ravens workhorse. We fully expect Bernard Pierce to not only shine while Rice is suspended but to also rotate with Rice once he's back from the 2-game punishment. After a season of just 660 yards and career worst 3.1 yards per carry a year ago, it’s hard for us to trust this once very productive Fantasy RB. 

Stevan Ridley, New England Patriots: Fumbling is the only thing in the way from Ridley being the Patriots workhorse between the tackles and on the goal-line, especially since LeGarrette Blount is gone. Sadly, he just can’t find the medicine for fumblitis. It’s a terrible sickness that has plagued many RBs throughout their careers. Once you are labeled a fumbler its hard to shake that moniker and even more difficult for Ridley since he quickly lands in Bill Belichick’s dog house (a cold and dreary place that is difficult to escape). He’s already put the ball on the carpet in the Preseason, not a good start for the player with 8 fumbles the last two seasons.  

Steven Jackson, Atlanta Falcons:  In 2013 an early season hamstring injury plagued S-Jax all year,  resulting in major BUST status for anyone that spent their valuable 2nd or 3rd round pick on the veteran rusher. Care to guess what happened on the 1st day of Training Camp this year? The FIRST DAY!!! S-Jax goes down with a hamstring injury (this time the other leg). He’s been out of the Preseason and Training Camp ever since. He’s doing a great job on Hard Knocks mentoring the younger backs, but don’t let his past performances and reputation fool you, it's nearing the end for Jackson. Plus rookie Devonta Freeman is expected to contribute from the get-go. 

Darren McFadden, Oakland Raiders: He makes our bust list every year, and guess what, he’s here again. All the potential in the world doesn’t mean SQUAT if you can’t stay on the field. Fully expect MJD to run away with the starting job. McFadden is simply the most injury prone player in the NFL. Sad? Yes. Fact? Yes. Truth hurts, deal with it Raider Nation.

Knowshon Moreno, Miami Dolphins:  We were never fans of Knowshon Moreno and that opinion came back to haunt us in a MAJOR way in 2013. If you were lucky enough to draft him, he was without question the best pick of your draft given the round you selected him. But let's be honest, running the ball in the Broncos record setting offense was pretty easy considering defenses were so focused on stopping (containing) Peyton Manning. Now that he's in Miami, we think he'll return to his previous major letdown status. Should also mention his surgically repaired knee has kept him out of the 1st half of Training Camp and is admittedly not yet in football shape. 

Chris Ivory, New York Jets: The Jets will once again be a run heavy team, especially if they can get creative with Mike Vick under-center. Early reports indicate a RBBC with Chris Johnson, which is fine for Ivory, because last year he couldn't handle the workload by himself. Then again, he is quickly earning the label of injury prone. He went down with a rib injury in the team’s 1st preseason game 

Shonn Greene, Tennessee Titans: Two right knee surgeries in the past year forced the Titans to draft Bishop Sankey and we expect the rookie to handle the bulk of the Titans workload, leaving Greene a fantasy non-factor.

BenJarvus Green-Ellis, Cincinnati Bengals: The Law-Firm lost his committee role to rookie Jeremy Hill  back in June. BJGE is now a serious afterthought in Fantasy and should only be considered as a bye week filler in the deepest of 16-20 man leagues.

 






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