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Wednesday, 8 April 2015

Daily Fantasy Lineup Strategy: THE MASTERS!

Hi Folks,
The Masters is here and Draft Kings is holding Millionaire Maker contest.  That’s right for only the cost of a few beers ($20), ok depending where you get your beer, maybe more than a few, you can get your shot a winning a cool $1,000,000. 


There is a ton of information out there about what to look for this week: Driving Distance, Greens in Regulation, Approach Shots, Par 5 Efficiency, and Putting (especially Lag Putting, you don’t want players who are going to post a bunch of three putts… a sure recipe for disaster at Augusta National).


With most Pros set to play this weekend (yeah, even Tiger is going to be on the course, at least at the beginning), the pricing this week is a bit skewed which leaves some great value down in the $6,000 to $8,000 range which could spell the difference for your lineup.  We only have $50,000 to spend.  Simple math tells us that we can’t simply load up on Rory ($14,900), Bubba ($12,200), Jordan Spieth ($11,900), Jason Day ($11,300), Adam Scott ($10,800) and Dustin Johnson ($10,500).  Yes, we will need some of these front runners (personally I plan on having Bubba in my lineups), but we will need some solid mid-range players, players who will Make The Cut, and provide us with points throughout the weekend. 


Some people will go with a Studs and Scrubs strategy, and hope to hit it with one of their Scrubs, personally on a course like Augusta, I don’t think Scrubs will get it done.  They are just happy to be there and by the weekend you will need quality players in your lineup, not a bunch of scrubs that missed the cut.


So what’s a person to do?  It’s actually pretty simple, find those players who should be priced like a stud but who is in the mid-range. 


Without further ado, here is a list of some potential value plays (a couple are almost must plays – hello JB), but a couple of these guys will let us have a nice balanced roster with some huge upside potential:


JB Holmes - $7,200:  He is on a roll and coming off an impressive win in Houston.

Paul Casey - $7,300: He is 21st in 3-Putt Avoidance and 24th in GIR this season.

Hunter Mahan - $7,200: He may not have had a real high finish this season but he has made 10 for 10 cuts.

Keegan Bradley - $7,700: Another cut making machine (9 of 10) and his -13 last week in Houston shows he can score.

Jonas Blixt - $6,800: Ranked 2nd in 3-Putt Avoidance

Ryan Palmer - $6,600: #6 in Driving Distance, 3 Top 10’s and 41st ranked in GIR (69%).

Kevin Streelman - $6,100: 290 yard driving average, ranked 18th in GIR and has made 10 or 13 cuts.

Gary Woodland - $7,300: 3 for 3 in cuts made at Augusta and ranked 10th in Driving Distance.

Morgan Hoffmann - $5,600: Risky with only 6 of 10 cuts made, but a Putting machine with only 7 3-Putts in 558 holes (ranked 3rd).



Before I sign off for today, I want to tout one more player.  He is a sentimental favorite of mine and I have always enjoyed watching him play for the last 20 years.  His name is Vijay Singh.  Yes he may be a bit on the older side, but he has made the last three cuts at Augusta and he did win the whole thing in 2000.  He has shown this year that he has seemed to find a fountain of youth somewhere posting a 10th place finish at the Valspar Championship and a 12th at the Northern Trust.  At only $5,400, he should “pay for himself” giving us 60 to 70 fantasy points.


That’s it for now, tomorrow I will be letting you in on my lineups for the Millionaire Maker at Draft Kings, until then, remember to do your homework, put together a couple of lineups and who knows, by Sunday evening you could be the newest Draft Kings Millionaire!!!!!!!





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