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Hi Daily Fantasy Veterans and Rookies,

Week Nine delivered pretty much exactly what we expected with our Shootouts and Defensive Struggles with both of our big games, Broncos/Patriots and Colts/Giants posting 64 points, well over the Vegas lines, while our low scoring game to avoid, the Jets/Chiefs came in at only 34 points.  In our big games we had many fantasy studs, including: Tom Brady – 32 points; Gronk – 28.5; Julian Edelman – 30; Peyton – 26 points; Ronnie Hillman – 25; Demaryius – 22; E. Sanders – 28; Eli Manning – 26 (mostly in junk time but in fantasy that’s ok); Odel Beckham, Jr. – 26.6; and Andrew Luck – 33.7.  In our negative game, only Percy Harvin had over 22 fantasy points, and with the exception of Eric Decker, no player scored over 20 points.

Hopefully you had most or at least some of these studs in your lineups too and managed to avoid the fantasy busts in the low scoring games, but since this is Daily Fantasy, our teams that took us into the money are no more and we once again, will be building our team from the ground up. 

To help you set the optimal team (and hopefully take home some major cash prizes, including yet again another cool $1,000,000 first prize up for grabs in this week’s $2.5 Million Guaranteed contest) each week we look for those games that the odds makers in Vegas see as high scoring affairs, which means a lot of fantasy points should be racked up, and which should be low scoring games where the points will be hard to come by. 

To check out the first article of this series for a complete description of the strategy: CLICK HERE

We have a total of six teams on bye this week with some major Fantasy Studs, so it will be even more important this week to find those games where a ton of points will be scored and where you might find the relatively lower priced player (like Jeremy Hill last week who for only $4,000 blew up for 32 points) who could really light it up and take your roster to victory.  Teams on bye this week are: Colts; Patriots; Vikings; Chargers; Redskins; and Texans.

Here we go: Looking at Week Ten, there is a single game that meets our 50 point over/under threshold. 

Over/Under with Positive Impact on Value: TARGET PLAYERS ON THESE TEAMS THIS WEEK

For our negative game(s) we look for games under 42 points.

Over/Under with Negative Impact on Value: AVOID PLAYERS ON THESE TEAMS THIS WEEK

Basic strategy with the above information is to look for studs and lower priced value in the “POSITIVE” games and look to avoid most but not all of the players in the “NEGATIVE” games.

Now with our tools (FFC Strength of Schedule, FF Champs Defense Stats Allowed , The FFCPI and the FFC Daily Fantasy Rank Tool) primed and ready to go, we can now review our target games and make some decisions and look for value:

POSITIVE GAMES:

Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers:

Both of these teams are coming off a bye week so their offense studs have had plenty of time rest up and get healthy (hello Aaron Rodgers’ hamstring).  Neither of these teams have a defense that scares anybody, in week eight, the Packers allowed 44 points to Drew Brees and the Saints and Chicago gave up five TDs to Tom Brady and the Patriots, while giving up a total of 51 points.  I don’t know about all of you, but I am totally drooling over this game!

Looking at the Bears, Matt Forte has been a complete monster (especially in PPR) this year averaging 26.2 FFPG and this week he gets the Packers who are giving up an average of 153 combined yards per game to RBs this year.  He is expensive at $10,000, but if you combine him with an inexpensive QB who can get you 20 points (Sanchez ??), Forte could be your key to victory.

Jay Cutler is $7,800.  If you take out the stinker of a game he had versus Miami (9.9 points), he is averaging around 22 FFPG and worth a look against Packers who are giving up the 9^th most fantasy points to QBs.

At WR, Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffrey are averaging only 13 and 15 FFPG respectively, and in week four the Packers held them to 25 points combined (10 for Marshall and 15 for Jeffrey).  While the Packers’ secondary has been more porous of late, especially with the absence of Sam Shields (whose status is still cloudy at the time of this writing), Marshall and/or Jeffrey could have a big game, but it is tough to know which one and because of this, I would probably look elsewhere for my WRs.

At $5,600, Martellus Bennett could be a solid play, after a hot start and then a few poor weeks (he didn’t get in the end zone); he rebounded nicely against the Patriots in week eight for 21.5 points.  I like him this week.

For Green Bay, here is who you will want in your lineup:  Aaron Rodgers -  23 FFPG ($9,400); Jordy Nelson – 21.1 FFPG ($7,600); Randall Cobb – 20.5 FFPG ($7,400); Eddie Lacy – only 14 FFPG but coming off a 29 point performance against the Saints ($6,900); and if you need a low priced, but high potential player in your flex, Davante Adams continues to increase he role in his role in the offense (7 catches for 75 yards against the Saints in week eight), and at only $3,800 he provides strong potential in the Flex position.

If you don’t want to spend the budget on Rodgers at $9,400, a nice play would be to pick up a less expensive QB like Big Ben at $7,500 and then double up on Rodgers’ receivers Nelson and Cobb for only a combined $15,000 to cover the potential for Rodgers “going off” against the Bears.

Before moving on to the “negative” game, we should note that there are several games with an over/under in the 48 to 49 point range.  While they don’t meet our 50 point threshold, these games, more blowouts than shootouts, should be considered extremely “juicy”, especially with so many teams on bye this week.  Those games are: The Niners @ the Saints; the Bronco @ the Raiders; and the Panthers @ the Eagles.

Players to target are: Brees at only $8,200, that’s cheap for Brees in the DOME!; Manning at $9,700, expensive yes, but he is good for at least 3 TD against the Raiders if not more; Ingram at $5,900, the Saints have rediscovered the run and Ingram has been impressive; Hillman at $6,100 against the 29^th worst defense vs. RBs; LeSean McCoy at only $5,600 against a bad Panthers run defense and with a backup QB for the Eagles, McCoy should step up; Jeremy Maclin at $8,300, the man has 46 and 37 fantasy points in his last two games!; Demaryius and E. Sanders ($8,500 & $8,100), these guys are unstoppable; Anquan Boldin ($5,600), he is making the catches, averaging 7 catches per game in last 3 games with 2 TDs; Jimmy Graham is getting healthy and he is relatively cheap at $6,300;and  Julius Thomas is also inexpensive at $4,900 and with Wes Welker “Day to Day”, Orange Julius should get many more looks from Manning, just remember the beginning of the year when Welker was out, Julius Thomas went nuts with five TDs in the first 3 games.

Now, on to the games to avoid:

NEGATIVE GAMES: (Remember, a negative game does not mean that all players will stink and not put up fantasy numbers, it just means that there is generally better value to be had elsewhere)

We only have one game in this category this week, and it is really a story of two solid defenses versus one team that doesn’t have a running game (Bills) and one team that has a very pedestrian passing game (Chiefs).

Kansas City Chiefs @ Buffalo Bills:

The Buffalo Bills are eighth against the run and 13^th against the pass and the Kansas City Chiefs are 19^th versus the run and first against the pass.  So, what we have here is defenses that play very strongly against their opponent’s strong suit and are still very solid against the other component.

The Chiefs run Jamaal Charles and Buffalo stops the run, the Bills throw the ball to Sammy Watkins and the Chiefs are demons against the pass.  So, what do we do, well we downgrade Charles whose $6,400 salary would normally make us lock him into our lineup and we look at Sammy Watkins at $6,200 and say “maybe not this week”.  Alex Smith becomes pretty much unusable and Kyle Orton @$6,700 just seems too pricey against this defense.  I don’t think I have to mention the mess that is the Bills backfield. 

This one could easily be 17-10, just not enough points for us to spend our budget on.  If you want to take a flyer on either Charles or Watkins, I can’t say it’s an absolutely terrible move and if I had to pick one I would say go with Charles.

As for the defenses, both are pretty good plays with the Bills at $3,000 and the Chiefs at $3,400.  I would say the Bills are the safer play, with the Chiefs having a bit more upside in terms of point scoring turnovers as the Bills will most likely be passing more with their RB problems.

Well, that is it for this week, remember to do your research, look for more daily fantasy articles in the upcoming days.

If you have any questions, comments or just want to talk fantasy, hit me up on Twitter (@Beaudog2).

Good luck this weekend!!!

Beaudog

Woof!!

Hi Daily Fantasy Veterans and Rookies,

Week Nine delivered pretty much exactly what we expected with our Shootouts and Defensive Struggles with both of our big games, Broncos/Patriots and Colts/Giants posting 64 points, well over the Vegas lines, while our low scoring game to avoid, the Jets/Chiefs came in at only 34 points.  In our big games we had many fantasy studs, including: Tom Brady – 32 points; Gronk – 28.5; Julian Edelman – 30; Peyton – 26 points; Ronnie Hillman – 25; Demaryius – 22; E. Sanders – 28; Eli Manning – 26 (mostly in junk time but in fantasy that’s ok); Odel Beckham, Jr. – 26.6; and Andrew Luck – 33.7.  In our negative game, only Percy Harvin had over 22 fantasy points, and with the exception of Eric Decker, no player scored over 20 points.

Hopefully you had most or at least some of these studs in your lineups too and managed to avoid the fantasy busts in the low scoring games, but since this is Daily Fantasy, our teams that took us into the money are no more and we once again, will be building our team from the ground up. 

To help you set the optimal team (and hopefully take home some major cash prizes, including yet again another cool $1,000,000 first prize up for grabs in this week’s $2.5 Million Guaranteed contest) each week we look for those games that the odds makers in Vegas see as high scoring affairs, which means a lot of fantasy points should be racked up, and which should be low scoring games where the points will be hard to come by. 

To check out the first article of this series for a complete description of the strategy: CLICK HERE

We have a total of six teams on bye this week with some major Fantasy Studs, so it will be even more important this week to find those games where a ton of points will be scored and where you might find the relatively lower priced player (like Jeremy Hill last week who for only $4,000 blew up for 32 points) who could really light it up and take your roster to victory.  Teams on bye this week are: Colts; Patriots; Vikings; Chargers; Redskins; and Texans.

Here we go: Looking at Week Ten, there is a single game that meets our 50 point over/under threshold. 

Over/Under with Positive Impact on Value: TARGET PLAYERS ON THESE TEAMS THIS WEEK

For our negative game(s) we look for games under 42 points.

Over/Under with Negative Impact on Value: AVOID PLAYERS ON THESE TEAMS THIS WEEK

Basic strategy with the above information is to look for studs and lower priced value in the “POSITIVE” games and look to avoid most but not all of the players in the “NEGATIVE” games.

Now with our tools (FFC Strength of Schedule, FF Champs Defense Stats Allowed , The FFCPI and the FFC Daily Fantasy Rank Tool) primed and ready to go, we can now review our target games and make some decisions and look for value:

POSITIVE GAMES:

Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers:

Both of these teams are coming off a bye week so their offense studs have had plenty of time rest up and get healthy (hello Aaron Rodgers’ hamstring).  Neither of these teams have a defense that scares anybody, in week eight, the Packers allowed 44 points to Drew Brees and the Saints and Chicago gave up five TDs to Tom Brady and the Patriots, while giving up a total of 51 points.  I don’t know about all of you, but I am totally drooling over this game!

Looking at the Bears, Matt Forte has been a complete monster (especially in PPR) this year averaging 26.2 FFPG and this week he gets the Packers who are giving up an average of 153 combined yards per game to RBs this year.  He is expensive at $10,000, but if you combine him with an inexpensive QB who can get you 20 points (Sanchez ??), Forte could be your key to victory.

Jay Cutler is $7,800.  If you take out the stinker of a game he had versus Miami (9.9 points), he is averaging around 22 FFPG and worth a look against Packers who are giving up the 9^th most fantasy points to QBs.

At WR, Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffrey are averaging only 13 and 15 FFPG respectively, and in week four the Packers held them to 25 points combined (10 for Marshall and 15 for Jeffrey).  While the Packers’ secondary has been more porous of late, especially with the absence of Sam Shields (whose status is still cloudy at the time of this writing), Marshall and/or Jeffrey could have a big game, but it is tough to know which one and because of this, I would probably look elsewhere for my WRs.

At $5,600, Martellus Bennett could be a solid play, after a hot start and then a few poor weeks (he didn’t get in the end zone); he rebounded nicely against the Patriots in week eight for 21.5 points.  I like him this week.

For Green Bay, here is who you will want in your lineup:  Aaron Rodgers -  23 FFPG ($9,400); Jordy Nelson – 21.1 FFPG ($7,600); Randall Cobb – 20.5 FFPG ($7,400); Eddie Lacy – only 14 FFPG but coming off a 29 point performance against the Saints ($6,900); and if you need a low priced, but high potential player in your flex, Davante Adams continues to increase he role in his role in the offense (7 catches for 75 yards against the Saints in week eight), and at only $3,800 he provides strong potential in the Flex position.

If you don’t want to spend the budget on Rodgers at $9,400, a nice play would be to pick up a less expensive QB like Big Ben at $7,500 and then double up on Rodgers’ receivers Nelson and Cobb for only a combined $15,000 to cover the potential for Rodgers “going off” against the Bears.

Before moving on to the “negative” game, we should note that there are several games with an over/under in the 48 to 49 point range.  While they don’t meet our 50 point threshold, these games, more blowouts than shootouts, should be considered extremely “juicy”, especially with so many teams on bye this week.  Those games are: The Niners @ the Saints; the Bronco @ the Raiders; and the Panthers @ the Eagles.

Players to target are: Brees at only $8,200, that’s cheap for Brees in the DOME!; Manning at $9,700, expensive yes, but he is good for at least 3 TD against the Raiders if not more; Ingram at $5,900, the Saints have rediscovered the run and Ingram has been impressive; Hillman at $6,100 against the 29^th worst defense vs. RBs; LeSean McCoy at only $5,600 against a bad Panthers run defense and with a backup QB for the Eagles, McCoy should step up; Jeremy Maclin at $8,300, the man has 46 and 37 fantasy points in his last two games!; Demaryius and E. Sanders ($8,500 & $8,100), these guys are unstoppable; Anquan Boldin ($5,600), he is making the catches, averaging 7 catches per game in last 3 games with 2 TDs; Jimmy Graham is getting healthy and he is relatively cheap at $6,300;and  Julius Thomas is also inexpensive at $4,900 and with Wes Welker “Day to Day”, Orange Julius should get many more looks from Manning, just remember the beginning of the year when Welker was out, Julius Thomas went nuts with five TDs in the first 3 games.

Now, on to the games to avoid:

NEGATIVE GAMES: (Remember, a negative game does not mean that all players will stink and not put up fantasy numbers, it just means that there is generally better value to be had elsewhere)

We only have one game in this category this week, and it is really a story of two solid defenses versus one team that doesn’t have a running game (Bills) and one team that has a very pedestrian passing game (Chiefs).

Kansas City Chiefs @ Buffalo Bills:

The Buffalo Bills are eighth against the run and 13^th against the pass and the Kansas City Chiefs are 19^th versus the run and first against the pass.  So, what we have here is defenses that play very strongly against their opponent’s strong suit and are still very solid against the other component.

The Chiefs run Jamaal Charles and Buffalo stops the run, the Bills throw the ball to Sammy Watkins and the Chiefs are demons against the pass.  So, what do we do, well we downgrade Charles whose $6,400 salary would normally make us lock him into our lineup and we look at Sammy Watkins at $6,200 and say “maybe not this week”.  Alex Smith becomes pretty much unusable and Kyle Orton @$6,700 just seems too pricey against this defense.  I don’t think I have to mention the mess that is the Bills backfield. 

This one could easily be 17-10, just not enough points for us to spend our budget on.  If you want to take a flyer on either Charles or Watkins, I can’t say it’s an absolutely terrible move and if I had to pick one I would say go with Charles.

As for the defenses, both are pretty good plays with the Bills at $3,000 and the Chiefs at $3,400.  I would say the Bills are the safer play, with the Chiefs having a bit more upside in terms of point scoring turnovers as the Bills will most likely be passing more with their RB problems.

Well, that is it for this week, remember to do your research, look for more daily fantasy articles in the upcoming days.

If you have any questions, comments or just want to talk fantasy, hit me up on Twitter (@Beaudog2).

Good luck this weekend!!!

Beaudog

Woof!!

Do you play Fantasy Football? If the answer is yes, this week you will again have one of the most exciting opportunities in the history of the game. Win a MILLION DOLLARS playing Fantasy Football this week!! When you open a new account at Draft Kings and make an initial deposit of $25 (or more), this week you will also receive a FREE $27 ENTRY into this week’s Millionaire Maker contest.  Simply go to www.FFChamps.com/million and get in on the action. 

Hi Daily Fantasy Veterans and Rookies,

Week 8 delivered another extraordinary week and Draft Kings crowned another $1,000,000 winner whose lineup registered more than 290 fantasy points. Leav11 had both Tom Brady and Ron Gronkowski who lit it up for 37 and 45 points, respectively, while also managing to include Brandon LaFell, Ahmad Bradshaw, Eddie Lacy, Randall Cobb, Jeremy Maclin and Brandin Cooks.  Great job, Leav11.  Congratulations on your big Million Dollar win!!!! 

Hopefully you had most or at least some of these studs in your lineups too, but since this is Daily Fantasy, our teams that took us into the money are no more and we once again, will be building our team from the ground up. 

To help you set the optimal team (and hopefully take home the MILLION BUCKS) each week we look for those games that the odds makers in Vegas see as high scoring affairs, which means a lot of fantasy points should be racked  up, and which should be low scoring games where the points will be hard to come by. 

Last week, the highest Over/Under games were the Packers/Saints, followed by the Bears/Patriots and the Redskins/Cowboys.  Look at the point totals from these games:  Randall Cobb – 26.6; Brandin Cooks – 27.8; Eddie Lacy – 29.2; Drew Brees – 28.0; Tom Brady – 37.2; Ron Gronkowski – 44.9; Brandon LaFell – 32.4 and DeMarco Murray – 28.1.

To check out the first article of this series for a complete description of the strategy: CLICK HERE

We have a total of six teams on bye this week with some major Fantasy Studs, so it will be even more important this week to find those games where a ton of points will be scored and where you might find the relatively lower priced player (like LaFell was last week – only $4,800) who could blow up and take your roster to victory.  Teams on bye this week are: Titans, Packers, Bills, Falcons, Bears and Lions.

Here we go: Looking at Week Nine, there are two games that reach our 50 point over/under threshold. 

Over/Under with Positive Impact on Value: TARGET PLAYERS ON THESE TEAMS THIS WEEK

For our negative game(s) we look for games under 42 points.

Over/Under with Negative Impact on Value: AVOID PLAYERS ON THESE TEAMS THIS WEEK

Basic strategy with the above information is to look for studs and lower priced value in the “POSITIVE” games and look to avoid most but not all of the players in the “NEGATIVE” games.

Now with our tools (FFC Strength of Schedule, FF Champs Defense Stats Allowed , The FFCPI and the FFC Daily Fantasy Rank Tool) primed and ready to go, we can now review our target games and make some decisions and look for value:

POSITIVE GAMES:

Denver Broncos @ New England Patriots:

This game has all the earmarks of a monster fantasy point generator.  Last week both these teams were involved in games that delivered a ton of points: Denver 35 Chargers 21; and Patriots 51 Chicago 23.

Bottom line here is PLAY EVERYONE!!!  Manning, Demaryius, Julius, Sanders, Hillman, Brady, Gronk, and LaFell.  Because all of these players had big performances in week eight their pricing has skyrocketed and it will be difficult to be able to play all of them. 

Manning is $9,800 so Brady at “only” $8,400 looks to be the better deal as they should post similar numbers.  Gronk is pricy at $7,600, but Julius Thomas is only $5,600 and after two sub-par weeks he should be due for a break out, especially with the Patriots being somewhat weak against the TE, so far this season they are giving up the 9^th most points to opposing TEs. 

An interesting play might be to lock up Brady and Orange Julius for a total of only $14,000 for the two players.  This way you get the benefit of Brady throwing TDs to Gronk and Julius Thomas receiving TDs from Manning.

At $6,000, LaFell might be priced a bit high, but he has definitely put himself on Brady’s radar and even if he gets half the production he had last week, say 6 catches for 60 yards and a TD, that is 18 fantasy points and a potential CPP of $333.  Not bad and a Brady/LaFell stack is affordable at $14,400.

Another must start player is Ronnie Hillman.  At only $5,600, Hillman is a no brainer.  The Patriots gave up 34 fantasy points to Forte last week and are giving up the 6^th most points to RBs based on rushing and the 2^nd most points to RBs in the pass game.  Hillman has proved he fits in the Broncos offense and against the Patriots weak defense, he should light it up.

The Broncos are the top ranked team against the rush so I would avoid the headache that is Belichick and his running back antics, however when it comes to RBs in the passing attack the Broncos are giving up the 12^th most points, so Shane Vereen at $4,600 does become interesting.  Drop him in your flex spot and then set up the rest of your lineup with the players you want, if he still fits in your salary cap keep him there.  If you find you are over-budget, there are other less expensive options for your flex.

Of course Demaryius Thomas ($9,000) and Emmanuel Sanders ($8,000) must be considered.  It will be tough to stack either one with Manning and his $9,800 salary.  If you want these players in your lineup you will most likely have to look for a lower priced QB (with good upside) to pair with them.  Strangely enough this QB could be Manning’s brother, Eli, priced at only $7,300 and also playing in a 50+ over/under game versus the Colts on Monday night.

This brings us finally to two low priced WRs who have great name recognition but who have not been putting up huge numbers lately: Julian Edelman @ $4,100 and Wes Welker @ $3,600.  Edelman has just not gotten into the end zone and has seen his receptions shrink over the last three weeks (9 in week six, 4 in week seven and only 1 in week eight, including 2 “bad” drops).  Welker meanwhile seems to have dropped out of the mainstream of the Broncos’ offense, especially with Sanders running circles around opposing defenses.  He is averaging only 8.6 FFPG and against a tough Patriots pass defense, ranked second versus WRs, Welker (and Edelman for that matter) becomes an extremely, extremely high risk play, with a relatively low ceiling of perhaps 15 points. 

Obviously, stay away from the defenses in this game.

Indianapolis Colts @ New York Giants:

Both defenses here are middle of the road, so there should be plenty of room for the offenses to light it up.  I also like this game as it affords the opportunity to have some “Monday Night Juice”, always fun!

Looking at the Colts, there are many players with good value in this expected high-scoring game.  Unfortunately Andrew Luck’s $10,000 salary almost prices him out of the equation.  Obviously a Stud, Luck can be considered in any lineup, but at 20% of our budget, I see him as too highly priced.

While Luck may be too expensive, there are several good “buys” on the Colts.  With the Giants giving up the 2^nd most points to RBs in the passing game and 13^th against the run, Ahmed Bradshaw is very attractive at $5,800; his value will only improve if someone can convince Pagano to keep Trent Richardson on the sidelines.

At WR, TY Hilton is solid at $8,100 and if Reggie Wayne does not make it back this week, Donte Moncrief becomes extremely attractive at only $5,300.  His 12 targets indicates he has Luck’s trust and even if Wayne is on the field, he probably will not be 100%, and Montcrief  should continue to get some play and be worth a WR3 slot.

Finally for the Colts, at TE, Dwayne Allen @ $4,100 is a good option.  The Giants are giving up the 12^th most fantasy points to TEs, and Allen, with a touchdown in 6 of 8 games, should easily match his 11 point FFPG average and could break out for a 20 point game.

On the Giants side of the ball, Eli Manning @$7,300 is nicely priced and could be that mid-range QB to slot in so our lineup can afford some of the higher priced players in the Bronco/Patriot game, or someone like Antonio Brown, who is just a Beast!  Even with the disaster versus the Eagles, Eli is averaging almost 18 FFPG, and bounced back nicely versus the Cowboys the next week with a 23 point performance.  The Colts are solid against QBs, so Eli is not a sure thing, but his ceiling is high (see Big Ben’s game last week against this same Colts team) and the Colts do give up more fantasy points to QBs on the road. 

Rashad Jennings is mostly likely a no-go so Andre Williams will get the bulk of the carries.  Even at $3,500, he may not be great value.  Since he got the starting job, Williams has been very up and down after a 16 point performance versus Atlanta, he has followed up with very poor, 6 and 5 point performances.  In a game where the Giants will most likely have to pass to keep up with Luck and the Colts, Williams should probably be kept on your bench.

On the other hand the Giants can provide our lineups with some high upside mid-range WRs.  Odel Beckham @ $5,000 and Rueben Randle @ $5,400 both provide good value and in this potential shootout both could exceed their average performances so far this year and put up 20 point games.

The Colts are giving up the 4^th most points to TEs; they even gave up a TD to Heath Miller!!  Larry Donnell bounced back from two sub-par games in week seven with 7 catches for 90 yards, once again becoming one of Eli’s favorite targets.  With Victor Cruz gone from the equation, Eli should continue to look for his big TE against a defense that just doesn’t know how to defend against them.  At $4,600, Donnell should help drive our lineup to the top, especially if Donnell returns to the end zone. 

Now, on to the games to avoid:

NEGATIVE GAMES: (Remember, a negative game does not mean that all players will stink and not put up fantasy numbers, it just means that there is generally better value to be had elsewhere)

We only have one game in this category this week, and it shapes up into a real stinker.

New York Jets @ Kansas City Chiefs:

Not only are the Jets in complete disarray, by the way who is the starting quarterback anyway? But they have to play in ARROWHEAD this week.  In the 3 games at Arrowhead, the Chiefs defense has only allowed an average of less than 16 points (real not fantasy) per game (a total of 5 TDs, none rushing), which puts the entire Jets offense, including Chris Ivory, in the “no play” category.

For the Chiefs, Alex Smith is banged up so he and his WRs are not good plays this week, which puts Jamaal Charles front and center at $7,100.  Last week Charles put up 27 fantasy points in what amounted to 3 quarters and should be able to put up a similar performance again this week against a Jets team that has no direction and could totally implode.  I am not all-in with Charles but he should have a solid game and could be a good player to roster for your cash contests (H2H and 50/50), I would not use him in the GPPs as I think his upside is somewhat limited by the nature of the game.

I do really like the Chiefs D/ST this week however.  Last week they posted 19 points at Arrowhead versus the Rams, the Jets should be so much more fodder for this opportunistic defense and 15 fantasy points is not out of the question, a good deal for only $3,300.

Well, that is it for this week, remember to do your research, look for more daily fantasy articles in the upcoming days, and good luck in big, huge, life changing Millionaire Maker Daily Fantasy Contest.  Remember with this offer, all you need do is make a $25 deposit that you can use any way you like and you get a FREE $27 entry and with that entry by around 1130pm on Monday, you could be a MILLIIONAIRE!!!

If you have any questions, comments or just want to talk fantasy, hit me up on Twitter (@Beaudog2).

Good luck this weekend!!!

Beaudog

Woof!!

Do you play Fantasy Football? If the answer is yes, this week you will again have one of the most exciting opportunities in the history of the game. Win a MILLION DOLLARS playing Fantasy Football this week!! When you open a new account at Draft Kings and make an initial deposit of $25 (or more), this week you will also receive a FREE $27 ENTRY into this week’s Millionaire Maker contest.  Simply go to www.FFChamps.com/million and get in on the action. 

Hi Daily Fantasy Veterans and Rookies,

Week 8 delivered another extraordinary week and Draft Kings crowned another $1,000,000 winner whose lineup registered more than 290 fantasy points. Leav11 had both Tom Brady and Ron Gronkowski who lit it up for 37 and 45 points, respectively, while also managing to include Brandon LaFell, Ahmad Bradshaw, Eddie Lacy, Randall Cobb, Jeremy Maclin and Brandin Cooks.  Great job, Leav11.  Congratulations on your big Million Dollar win!!!! 

Hopefully you had most or at least some of these studs in your lineups too, but since this is Daily Fantasy, our teams that took us into the money are no more and we once again, will be building our team from the ground up. 

To help you set the optimal team (and hopefully take home the MILLION BUCKS) each week we look for those games that the odds makers in Vegas see as high scoring affairs, which means a lot of fantasy points should be racked  up, and which should be low scoring games where the points will be hard to come by. 

Last week, the highest Over/Under games were the Packers/Saints, followed by the Bears/Patriots and the Redskins/Cowboys.  Look at the point totals from these games:  Randall Cobb – 26.6; Brandin Cooks – 27.8; Eddie Lacy – 29.2; Drew Brees – 28.0; Tom Brady – 37.2; Ron Gronkowski – 44.9; Brandon LaFell – 32.4 and DeMarco Murray – 28.1.

To check out the first article of this series for a complete description of the strategy: CLICK HERE

We have a total of six teams on bye this week with some major Fantasy Studs, so it will be even more important this week to find those games where a ton of points will be scored and where you might find the relatively lower priced player (like LaFell was last week – only $4,800) who could blow up and take your roster to victory.  Teams on bye this week are: Titans, Packers, Bills, Falcons, Bears and Lions.

Here we go: Looking at Week Nine, there are two games that reach our 50 point over/under threshold. 

Over/Under with Positive Impact on Value: TARGET PLAYERS ON THESE TEAMS THIS WEEK

For our negative game(s) we look for games under 42 points.

Over/Under with Negative Impact on Value: AVOID PLAYERS ON THESE TEAMS THIS WEEK

Basic strategy with the above information is to look for studs and lower priced value in the “POSITIVE” games and look to avoid most but not all of the players in the “NEGATIVE” games.

Now with our tools (FFC Strength of Schedule, FF Champs Defense Stats Allowed , The FFCPI and the FFC Daily Fantasy Rank Tool) primed and ready to go, we can now review our target games and make some decisions and look for value:

POSITIVE GAMES:

Denver Broncos @ New England Patriots:

This game has all the earmarks of a monster fantasy point generator.  Last week both these teams were involved in games that delivered a ton of points: Denver 35 Chargers 21; and Patriots 51 Chicago 23.

Bottom line here is PLAY EVERYONE!!!  Manning, Demaryius, Julius, Sanders, Hillman, Brady, Gronk, and LaFell.  Because all of these players had big performances in week eight their pricing has skyrocketed and it will be difficult to be able to play all of them. 

Manning is $9,800 so Brady at “only” $8,400 looks to be the better deal as they should post similar numbers.  Gronk is pricy at $7,600, but Julius Thomas is only $5,600 and after two sub-par weeks he should be due for a break out, especially with the Patriots being somewhat weak against the TE, so far this season they are giving up the 9^th most points to opposing TEs. 

An interesting play might be to lock up Brady and Orange Julius for a total of only $14,000 for the two players.  This way you get the benefit of Brady throwing TDs to Gronk and Julius Thomas receiving TDs from Manning.

At $6,000, LaFell might be priced a bit high, but he has definitely put himself on Brady’s radar and even if he gets half the production he had last week, say 6 catches for 60 yards and a TD, that is 18 fantasy points and a potential CPP of $333.  Not bad and a Brady/LaFell stack is affordable at $14,400.

Another must start player is Ronnie Hillman.  At only $5,600, Hillman is a no brainer.  The Patriots gave up 34 fantasy points to Forte last week and are giving up the 6^th most points to RBs based on rushing and the 2^nd most points to RBs in the pass game.  Hillman has proved he fits in the Broncos offense and against the Patriots weak defense, he should light it up.

The Broncos are the top ranked team against the rush so I would avoid the headache that is Belichick and his running back antics, however when it comes to RBs in the passing attack the Broncos are giving up the 12^th most points, so Shane Vereen at $4,600 does become interesting.  Drop him in your flex spot and then set up the rest of your lineup with the players you want, if he still fits in your salary cap keep him there.  If you find you are over-budget, there are other less expensive options for your flex.

Of course Demaryius Thomas ($9,000) and Emmanuel Sanders ($8,000) must be considered.  It will be tough to stack either one with Manning and his $9,800 salary.  If you want these players in your lineup you will most likely have to look for a lower priced QB (with good upside) to pair with them.  Strangely enough this QB could be Manning’s brother, Eli, priced at only $7,300 and also playing in a 50+ over/under game versus the Colts on Monday night.

This brings us finally to two low priced WRs who have great name recognition but who have not been putting up huge numbers lately: Julian Edelman @ $4,100 and Wes Welker @ $3,600.  Edelman has just not gotten into the end zone and has seen his receptions shrink over the last three weeks (9 in week six, 4 in week seven and only 1 in week eight, including 2 “bad” drops).  Welker meanwhile seems to have dropped out of the mainstream of the Broncos’ offense, especially with Sanders running circles around opposing defenses.  He is averaging only 8.6 FFPG and against a tough Patriots pass defense, ranked second versus WRs, Welker (and Edelman for that matter) becomes an extremely, extremely high risk play, with a relatively low ceiling of perhaps 15 points. 

Obviously, stay away from the defenses in this game.

Indianapolis Colts @ New York Giants:

Both defenses here are middle of the road, so there should be plenty of room for the offenses to light it up.  I also like this game as it affords the opportunity to have some “Monday Night Juice”, always fun!

Looking at the Colts, there are many players with good value in this expected high-scoring game.  Unfortunately Andrew Luck’s $10,000 salary almost prices him out of the equation.  Obviously a Stud, Luck can be considered in any lineup, but at 20% of our budget, I see him as too highly priced.

While Luck may be too expensive, there are several good “buys” on the Colts.  With the Giants giving up the 2^nd most points to RBs in the passing game and 13^th against the run, Ahmed Bradshaw is very attractive at $5,800; his value will only improve if someone can convince Pagano to keep Trent Richardson on the sidelines.

At WR, TY Hilton is solid at $8,100 and if Reggie Wayne does not make it back this week, Donte Moncrief becomes extremely attractive at only $5,300.  His 12 targets indicates he has Luck’s trust and even if Wayne is on the field, he probably will not be 100%, and Montcrief  should continue to get some play and be worth a WR3 slot.

Finally for the Colts, at TE, Dwayne Allen @ $4,100 is a good option.  The Giants are giving up the 12^th most fantasy points to TEs, and Allen, with a touchdown in 6 of 8 games, should easily match his 11 point FFPG average and could break out for a 20 point game.

On the Giants side of the ball, Eli Manning @$7,300 is nicely priced and could be that mid-range QB to slot in so our lineup can afford some of the higher priced players in the Bronco/Patriot game, or someone like Antonio Brown, who is just a Beast!  Even with the disaster versus the Eagles, Eli is averaging almost 18 FFPG, and bounced back nicely versus the Cowboys the next week with a 23 point performance.  The Colts are solid against QBs, so Eli is not a sure thing, but his ceiling is high (see Big Ben’s game last week against this same Colts team) and the Colts do give up more fantasy points to QBs on the road. 

Rashad Jennings is mostly likely a no-go so Andre Williams will get the bulk of the carries.  Even at $3,500, he may not be great value.  Since he got the starting job, Williams has been very up and down after a 16 point performance versus Atlanta, he has followed up with very poor, 6 and 5 point performances.  In a game where the Giants will most likely have to pass to keep up with Luck and the Colts, Williams should probably be kept on your bench.

On the other hand the Giants can provide our lineups with some high upside mid-range WRs.  Odel Beckham @ $5,000 and Rueben Randle @ $5,400 both provide good value and in this potential shootout both could exceed their average performances so far this year and put up 20 point games.

The Colts are giving up the 4^th most points to TEs; they even gave up a TD to Heath Miller!!  Larry Donnell bounced back from two sub-par games in week seven with 7 catches for 90 yards, once again becoming one of Eli’s favorite targets.  With Victor Cruz gone from the equation, Eli should continue to look for his big TE against a defense that just doesn’t know how to defend against them.  At $4,600, Donnell should help drive our lineup to the top, especially if Donnell returns to the end zone. 

Now, on to the games to avoid:

NEGATIVE GAMES: (Remember, a negative game does not mean that all players will stink and not put up fantasy numbers, it just means that there is generally better value to be had elsewhere)

We only have one game in this category this week, and it shapes up into a real stinker.

New York Jets @ Kansas City Chiefs:

Not only are the Jets in complete disarray, by the way who is the starting quarterback anyway? But they have to play in ARROWHEAD this week.  In the 3 games at Arrowhead, the Chiefs defense has only allowed an average of less than 16 points (real not fantasy) per game (a total of 5 TDs, none rushing), which puts the entire Jets offense, including Chris Ivory, in the “no play” category.

For the Chiefs, Alex Smith is banged up so he and his WRs are not good plays this week, which puts Jamaal Charles front and center at $7,100.  Last week Charles put up 27 fantasy points in what amounted to 3 quarters and should be able to put up a similar performance again this week against a Jets team that has no direction and could totally implode.  I am not all-in with Charles but he should have a solid game and could be a good player to roster for your cash contests (H2H and 50/50), I would not use him in the GPPs as I think his upside is somewhat limited by the nature of the game.

I do really like the Chiefs D/ST this week however.  Last week they posted 19 points at Arrowhead versus the Rams, the Jets should be so much more fodder for this opportunistic defense and 15 fantasy points is not out of the question, a good deal for only $3,300.

Well, that is it for this week, remember to do your research, look for more daily fantasy articles in the upcoming days, and good luck in big, huge, life changing Millionaire Maker Daily Fantasy Contest.  Remember with this offer, all you need do is make a $25 deposit that you can use any way you like and you get a FREE $27 entry and with that entry by around 1130pm on Monday, you could be a MILLIIONAIRE!!!

If you have any questions, comments or just want to talk fantasy, hit me up on Twitter (@Beaudog2).

Good luck this weekend!!!

Beaudog

Woof!!

Do you play Fantasy Football? If the answer is yes, this week you will again have one of the most exciting opportunities in the history of the game. Win a MILLION DOLLARS playing Fantasy Football this week!! When you open a new account at Draft Kings and make an initial deposit of $25 (or more), this week you will also receive a FREE $27 ENTRY into this week’s Millionaire Maker contest.  Simply go to www.FFChamps.com/million and get in on the action.  

Hi Daily Fantasy Veterans and Rookies,

Week 7 delivered another extraordinary and historic week and Draft Kings crowned another $1,000,000 winner.  Peyton Manning threw for 4 more TDs and stands atop the all-time touchdown list with 510, and Demarco Murray become the first running back in history to rush for over 100 in the first seven games of the season, surpassing the great Jim Brown.  In Daily Fantasy, Russell Wilson ran and passed his way to 43 points and Demaryius Thomas posted 40 points as he helped Peyton break the record.  RAYOFHOPE had both of these players in his lineup and they helped bring him home the $1,000,000 first prize.  Congratulation Ray!!!!!!! Enjoy those big bucks! 

Hopefully you had both these studs in your lineups too, but since this is Daily Fantasy, our teams that took us into the money are no more and we once again, will be building our team from the ground up. 

For three weeks now, $1,000,000 has been up for grabs at Draft Kings, and this week will be no different as once again you will have a shot at a cool million bucks in the Millionaire Maker contest at Draft Kings.  As with last week, FFChamps is again giving you an amazing offer, simply click on this link, register for an account and make a $25 deposit and you will receive a FREE $27 entry into the Millionaire Maker contest and a FREE membership (a $59.95 value) to FFChamps.com 

To help you set the optimal team (and hopefully take home the MILLION BUCKS) each week we look for those games that the odds makers in Vegas see as high scoring affairs, which means a lot of fantasy points should be racked up, and which should be low scoring games where the points will be hard to come by. 

Last week, the game with the highest Over/Under the 49ers @ Broncos game at 50 points and boy did this game deliver: Peyton Manning – 31.6 points; Ronnie Hillman – 26.3; Demaryius Thomas – 40.1; and even Wes Welker at $3,700 last week delivered with 14.0 points.

To check out the first article of this series for a complete description of the strategy: CLICK HERE

Our bye week teams this week are the New York Giants and San Francisco 49ers. 

Here we go: Looking at Week Eight, there are many games that reach our 50 point over/under threshold. 

Over/Under with Positive Impact on Value: TARGET PLAYERS ON THESE TEAMS THIS WEEK

And if you like to play the contests that include the Thursday Night Game:

For our negative games for games we look for games under 42 points.

Over/Under with Negative Impact on Value: AVOID PLAYERS ON THESE TEAMS THIS WEEK

Basic strategy with the above information is to look for studs and lower priced value in the “POSITIVE” games and look to avoid most but not all of the players in the “NEGATIVE” games.

Now with our tools (FFC Strength of Schedule, FF Champs Defense Stats Allowed , The FFCPI and the FFC Daily Fantasy Rank Tool) primed and ready to go, we can now review our target games and make some decisions and look for value:

POSITIVE GAMES:

Green Bay Packers @ New Orleans Saints:

This game has all the earmarks of a monster fantasy point generator.

All of the Packers are solid plays, even Aaron Rodgers despite his high $9,000 price tag.  In his last 4 games he has thrown for 13 touchdowns with no interceptions, and if you take out the Vikings game that he came out of early since the Packers were up so big, he is averaging over 27 FFPG.  While Rodgers may be a no brainer, the real values come in his wide receivers.  Despite their performances over the past few weeks, the Packers WRs are priced relatively inexpensively: Jordy Nelson (23.3 FFPG) @ $7,800 and Randall Cobb (19.6) @ $7,500.  Even Davante Adams who has put up almost 23 points in the last two weeks is interesting for a WR3 or Flex at $3,500.

While Eddie Lacy has been somewhat of a disappointment this year as James Starks has definitely cut into his carries, this week may see Starks somewhat limited due to an ankle injury he sustained last week.  Watch the injury report if Starks remains questionable and does not appear to be going to get his normal workload, Lacy becomes much more interesting at $5,200.  He is not a lock this week, but should be a solid performer at a very reasonable price.

For the Saints, the Packers have been stingy versus QBs, allowing a maximum of 17 fantasy points to QBs through the first 7 weeks.  Drew Brees has been consistent this year with a 21 FFPG so far.  At $8,100, he is not a bad option and he could have a breakout game at home as the Saints will most definitely be throwing the ball to keep up with the Packers, especially with the injuries in their backfield.

As Brees will undoubtedly be throwing the ball, his two main targets, Marques Colston ($5,000) and Brandin Cooks ($4,700) are excellent value.  Colston is coming off a 20 point game last week, and while Cooks has been up and down this season, the rookie is always capable of putting up a big game, just as he did in week one when he posted 22.5 fantasy points. 

This is going to be a passing game so I would avoid the mess that is the Saints backfield.  Thomas is hurt, Ingram did nothing last week after coming back from his hand injury and then left the game with some sort of shoulder injury.  Khiry Robinson had his shot and did not get it done and Cadet is still an unknown.  Stay away.

If this was a normal season, all I would be talking about here is getting Jimmy Graham in your lineup no matter the cost.  However, Graham is hurt and based on his zero catch on two targets performance last week he can probably not be counted on for a standout performance this week.  It should also be noted that the Packers are solid versus the TE position.  His salary is very low for Jimmy Graham at $5,600, so the impulse might be there to take a shot.  Graham should only be in your lineup if the injury report and game day reports have him at or close to 100%, otherwise look elsewhere.

Chicago Bears @ New England Patriots:

The Bears are a very mediocre defense and the Patriots seem to have found their stride, averaging 35 points over the past three weeks.

For the Patriots, Tom Brady with a 25.7 average FFPG over the past 3 weeks and a $7,200 salary is an excellent start this week at home.  His partner in crime, Rob Gronkowski is rounding into shape, has averaged 6 receptions the last 3 weeks with an 18 average FFPG over that same stretch.  He may be a bit expensive at $5,600, but against the Bears a Brady/Gronk stack could be a winning formula for only $12,800. 

At RB, without Ridley, Shane Vereen proved he could get the job done with a 28 point performance last week against a tough NY Jets run defense.  At $6,200, Vereen should be considered especially with his involvement in the passing game in Draft Kings’ PPR format.

At WR, Julian Edelman has cooled off since his hot start, but at $4,600, Brady’s favorite target should not be overlooked this week.  Brandon LaFell is priced at $4,800 and could be an OK start this week.  However, with LaFell and Edelman essentially priced the same, but in Draft Kings’ PPR format I would lean towards Edelman this week.

The Bears did not have a great game last week, and Matt Forte still put up 29 fantasy points.  Add to this the fact that the Patriots are really bad versus RBs, especially in the receiving game, and Matt Forte, even at $8,800 becomes a must start.  Build your team around this dynamic running back.

The Patriots are stingy against the pass, ranked #1, allowing only 208 yards per game.  This could mean that Jay Cutler ($7,000), Brandon Marshall ($6,100), Alshon Jeffrey ($6,000) and Martellus Bennett ($5,200) could be in for a rough day.  The Vegas boys see this as a high scoring game, but it could easily be Patriots 35 – Bears 17, with Forte getting the scores and Cutler and company laying a big goose egg.  Alshon Jeffrey seems to be the most consistent of this group, and aside from Forte, he would be the Bear I would get in my lineup.

Washington Redskins @ Dallas Cowboys:

As with the game above, Vegas has this as a 50 point game, but it could be a huge blowout with Dallas scoring all the points and the Redskins putting up few points and hence few fantasy points.  While some Redskins may be worth a look, I would concentrate on the Dallas playmakers in this game.

First of all, the Redskins pass defense is terrible.  Start Dez Bryant at only $6,900. Let me repeat that, START DEZ BRYANT!! Terrance Williams is a nice flex play at only $4,700 (he has 4 TDs in the past 4 games).  Since week four, Tony Romo has been a consistent 20 or so point QB, with 8 touchdowns and only 2 interceptions.  His price of $7,400, puts him in the very affordable range and against the Redskins, he could be a real bargain if he lights it up.

Then there is Demarco Murray.  The Redskins have been solid against the run allowing an average of 99 yards per game.  Murray has been getting the work, he has run for at least 100 yards in every game this season, I don’t see the Redskins slowing him down.  He is expensive at $8,600, but if you want to build your team around him, you would not get an argument from me.

On the Redskins side of the ball, Colt McCoy should stay on your bench.  Alfred Morris is worth a look at $4,200 but he needs to get into the end zone.  Wide Receivers DeSean Jackson @ $5,700 and Pierre Garcon @ $5,200 are not bad options for your “cash” games (head to head and 50/50).  Given the way the Cowboys have been playing and with McCoy throwing them the ball, they are more likely to get 10-15 points, than blow it up for the 25+ points you need for the Guaranteed Prize Pool contests.

The Cowboys are the worst team against the TE, and with Jordan Reed back, and with McCoy looking for a security blanket, Reed’s $4,000 salary looks like a real bargain, and perhaps the best Redskins player to own this week.

Before moving onto the negative games, there is one more game to mention, the Thursday Night Game between the San Diego Chargers and the Denver Broncos (Over/Under 51). 

Since this is the Thursday Night Game, these players can only be used in contests that include this game.  These contests are usually a bit smaller, but there is still good money to be made.

Bottom line on this game: USE ALL THE DENVER PLAYERS!!!!!  Peyton Manning and the Broncos are working like a will oiled machine and the Chargers should not be able to stop the Broncos at home at Mile High. One note on Ronnie Hillman ($4,900), while the Chargers are solid against the run, they are dead last against RBs in the passing game.  Hillman caught 4 passes last week on his way to a 26 fantasy point week.  At his price he is a great play in the Flex.

For the Chargers, Philip Rivers has gotten it done, and with having to keep up with Peyton, Rivers could put up huge numbers.  His receivers, Allen, Floyd and Royal, are all in the low $4,000s and all have value as WR3 or Flex in this high-scoring matchup.  Brandon Oliver probably has one more week of the backfield to himself before Ryan Matthews returns, but in a game where points are flying, the Chargers may have to abandon the run, so his salary might be a bit high.  Despite his higher price, Antonio Gates at $5,600 could be the play.

Now, on to the games to avoid:

NEGATIVE GAMES: (Remember, a negative game does not mean that all players will stink and not put up fantasy numbers, it just means that there is generally better value to be had elsewhere)

Minnesota Vikings @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers:

If this game was in Minnesota, it would probably be a higher scoring game.  But at home the Buccaneers have been a more solid defense (the week 6 game versus the Ravens, notwithstanding), and the Vikings defense is also solid. 

Most of the players are inexpensive in the game, but aside from possibly Jerick McKinnon at $4,900, there are other players in the same price range available in games that are not shaping up to a defensive game with few fantasy point available.

Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets:

The Jets run defense is legit, so leave the mess that is the Bills backfield on the bench, yes they are cheap, but if the Jets defense comes to play, they could produce like cheap RBs, i.e. fewer than 10 fantasy points. 

The Jets can be had through the air, so Sammy Watkins does look good at $5,700, he and Orton definitely seem to have developed a rapport and Watkins could light it up again this week.  Orton is also an option at $6,300, if you want to go cheap at QB and stack up with higher priced RBs and WRs.

Like the Jets, the Bills are extremely strong versus the run, having allowed only 442 rushing yards this season and zero touchdowns to RBs.  At $5,000 versus this defense, Chris Ivory is not an option this week.  Geno Smith has not topped 20 fantasy points this season, not worth his $5,700 salary.  However, like the Jets, the Bills can be had through the air (ranked 24^th versus WRs), making Eric Decker at $4,600 an interesting play.  There is risk here, since he does have Geno throwing him the ball, but with Percy Harvin adding another weapon in the passing game, Decker could see less double coverage and rack up some points versus the Bills porous secondary. 

That leaves Percy Harvin to consider.  Fantasy Players have been waiting all season for Harvin to “go off”, is this the week?  I honestly don’t know, but at $4,100, if you are stacked up everywhere else and have $4,100 left for a WR3 or Flex he could be just the right High Risk/High Reward player to put in your lineup in the Guaranteed Prize Pool contests.

Well, that is it for this week, remember to do your research, look for more daily fantasy articles in the upcoming days, and good luck in big, huge, life changing Millionaire Maker Daily Fantasy Contest.  Remember with this offer, all you need do is make a $25 deposit that you can use any way you like and you get a FREE $27 entry and with that entry by around 1130pm on Monday, you could be a MILLIIONAIRE!!!

If you have any questions, comments or just want to talk fantasy, hit me up on Twitter or Facebook, you can use the links below to get in touch.

Good luck this weekend!!!

Beaudog

Woof!!

Do you play Fantasy Football? If the answer is yes, this week you will again have one of the most exciting opportunities in the history of the game. Win a MILLION DOLLARS playing Fantasy Football this week!! When you open a new account at Draft Kings and make an initial deposit of $25 (or more), this week you will also receive a FREE $27 ENTRY into this week’s Millionaire Maker contest.  Simply go to www.FFChamps.com/million and get in on the action.  

Hi Daily Fantasy Veterans and Rookies,

Week 7 delivered another extraordinary and historic week and Draft Kings crowned another $1,000,000 winner.  Peyton Manning threw for 4 more TDs and stands atop the all-time touchdown list with 510, and Demarco Murray become the first running back in history to rush for over 100 in the first seven games of the season, surpassing the great Jim Brown.  In Daily Fantasy, Russell Wilson ran and passed his way to 43 points and Demaryius Thomas posted 40 points as he helped Peyton break the record.  RAYOFHOPE had both of these players in his lineup and they helped bring him home the $1,000,000 first prize.  Congratulation Ray!!!!!!! Enjoy those big bucks! 

Hopefully you had both these studs in your lineups too, but since this is Daily Fantasy, our teams that took us into the money are no more and we once again, will be building our team from the ground up. 

For three weeks now, $1,000,000 has been up for grabs at Draft Kings, and this week will be no different as once again you will have a shot at a cool million bucks in the Millionaire Maker contest at Draft Kings.  As with last week, FFChamps is again giving you an amazing offer, simply click on this link, register for an account and make a $25 deposit and you will receive a FREE $27 entry into the Millionaire Maker contest and a FREE membership (a $59.95 value) to FFChamps.com 

To help you set the optimal team (and hopefully take home the MILLION BUCKS) each week we look for those games that the odds makers in Vegas see as high scoring affairs, which means a lot of fantasy points should be racked up, and which should be low scoring games where the points will be hard to come by. 

Last week, the game with the highest Over/Under the 49ers @ Broncos game at 50 points and boy did this game deliver: Peyton Manning – 31.6 points; Ronnie Hillman – 26.3; Demaryius Thomas – 40.1; and even Wes Welker at $3,700 last week delivered with 14.0 points.

To check out the first article of this series for a complete description of the strategy: CLICK HERE

Our bye week teams this week are the New York Giants and San Francisco 49ers. 

Here we go: Looking at Week Eight, there are many games that reach our 50 point over/under threshold. 

Over/Under with Positive Impact on Value: TARGET PLAYERS ON THESE TEAMS THIS WEEK

And if you like to play the contests that include the Thursday Night Game:

For our negative games for games we look for games under 42 points.

Over/Under with Negative Impact on Value: AVOID PLAYERS ON THESE TEAMS THIS WEEK

Basic strategy with the above information is to look for studs and lower priced value in the “POSITIVE” games and look to avoid most but not all of the players in the “NEGATIVE” games.

Now with our tools (FFC Strength of Schedule, FF Champs Defense Stats Allowed , The FFCPI and the FFC Daily Fantasy Rank Tool) primed and ready to go, we can now review our target games and make some decisions and look for value:

POSITIVE GAMES:

Green Bay Packers @ New Orleans Saints:

This game has all the earmarks of a monster fantasy point generator.

All of the Packers are solid plays, even Aaron Rodgers despite his high $9,000 price tag.  In his last 4 games he has thrown for 13 touchdowns with no interceptions, and if you take out the Vikings game that he came out of early since the Packers were up so big, he is averaging over 27 FFPG.  While Rodgers may be a no brainer, the real values come in his wide receivers.  Despite their performances over the past few weeks, the Packers WRs are priced relatively inexpensively: Jordy Nelson (23.3 FFPG) @ $7,800 and Randall Cobb (19.6) @ $7,500.  Even Davante Adams who has put up almost 23 points in the last two weeks is interesting for a WR3 or Flex at $3,500.

While Eddie Lacy has been somewhat of a disappointment this year as James Starks has definitely cut into his carries, this week may see Starks somewhat limited due to an ankle injury he sustained last week.  Watch the injury report if Starks remains questionable and does not appear to be going to get his normal workload, Lacy becomes much more interesting at $5,200.  He is not a lock this week, but should be a solid performer at a very reasonable price.

For the Saints, the Packers have been stingy versus QBs, allowing a maximum of 17 fantasy points to QBs through the first 7 weeks.  Drew Brees has been consistent this year with a 21 FFPG so far.  At $8,100, he is not a bad option and he could have a breakout game at home as the Saints will most definitely be throwing the ball to keep up with the Packers, especially with the injuries in their backfield.

As Brees will undoubtedly be throwing the ball, his two main targets, Marques Colston ($5,000) and Brandin Cooks ($4,700) are excellent value.  Colston is coming off a 20 point game last week, and while Cooks has been up and down this season, the rookie is always capable of putting up a big game, just as he did in week one when he posted 22.5 fantasy points. 

This is going to be a passing game so I would avoid the mess that is the Saints backfield.  Thomas is hurt, Ingram did nothing last week after coming back from his hand injury and then left the game with some sort of shoulder injury.  Khiry Robinson had his shot and did not get it done and Cadet is still an unknown.  Stay away.

If this was a normal season, all I would be talking about here is getting Jimmy Graham in your lineup no matter the cost.  However, Graham is hurt and based on his zero catch on two targets performance last week he can probably not be counted on for a standout performance this week.  It should also be noted that the Packers are solid versus the TE position.  His salary is very low for Jimmy Graham at $5,600, so the impulse might be there to take a shot.  Graham should only be in your lineup if the injury report and game day reports have him at or close to 100%, otherwise look elsewhere.

Chicago Bears @ New England Patriots:

The Bears are a very mediocre defense and the Patriots seem to have found their stride, averaging 35 points over the past three weeks.

For the Patriots, Tom Brady with a 25.7 average FFPG over the past 3 weeks and a $7,200 salary is an excellent start this week at home.  His partner in crime, Rob Gronkowski is rounding into shape, has averaged 6 receptions the last 3 weeks with an 18 average FFPG over that same stretch.  He may be a bit expensive at $5,600, but against the Bears a Brady/Gronk stack could be a winning formula for only $12,800. 

At RB, without Ridley, Shane Vereen proved he could get the job done with a 28 point performance last week against a tough NY Jets run defense.  At $6,200, Vereen should be considered especially with his involvement in the passing game in Draft Kings’ PPR format.

At WR, Julian Edelman has cooled off since his hot start, but at $4,600, Brady’s favorite target should not be overlooked this week.  Brandon LaFell is priced at $4,800 and could be an OK start this week.  However, with LaFell and Edelman essentially priced the same, but in Draft Kings’ PPR format I would lean towards Edelman this week.

The Bears did not have a great game last week, and Matt Forte still put up 29 fantasy points.  Add to this the fact that the Patriots are really bad versus RBs, especially in the receiving game, and Matt Forte, even at $8,800 becomes a must start.  Build your team around this dynamic running back.

The Patriots are stingy against the pass, ranked #1, allowing only 208 yards per game.  This could mean that Jay Cutler ($7,000), Brandon Marshall ($6,100), Alshon Jeffrey ($6,000) and Martellus Bennett ($5,200) could be in for a rough day.  The Vegas boys see this as a high scoring game, but it could easily be Patriots 35 – Bears 17, with Forte getting the scores and Cutler and company laying a big goose egg.  Alshon Jeffrey seems to be the most consistent of this group, and aside from Forte, he would be the Bear I would get in my lineup.

Washington Redskins @ Dallas Cowboys:

As with the game above, Vegas has this as a 50 point game, but it could be a huge blowout with Dallas scoring all the points and the Redskins putting up few points and hence few fantasy points.  While some Redskins may be worth a look, I would concentrate on the Dallas playmakers in this game.

First of all, the Redskins pass defense is terrible.  Start Dez Bryant at only $6,900. Let me repeat that, START DEZ BRYANT!! Terrance Williams is a nice flex play at only $4,700 (he has 4 TDs in the past 4 games).  Since week four, Tony Romo has been a consistent 20 or so point QB, with 8 touchdowns and only 2 interceptions.  His price of $7,400, puts him in the very affordable range and against the Redskins, he could be a real bargain if he lights it up.

Then there is Demarco Murray.  The Redskins have been solid against the run allowing an average of 99 yards per game.  Murray has been getting the work, he has run for at least 100 yards in every game this season, I don’t see the Redskins slowing him down.  He is expensive at $8,600, but if you want to build your team around him, you would not get an argument from me.

On the Redskins side of the ball, Colt McCoy should stay on your bench.  Alfred Morris is worth a look at $4,200 but he needs to get into the end zone.  Wide Receivers DeSean Jackson @ $5,700 and Pierre Garcon @ $5,200 are not bad options for your “cash” games (head to head and 50/50).  Given the way the Cowboys have been playing and with McCoy throwing them the ball, they are more likely to get 10-15 points, than blow it up for the 25+ points you need for the Guaranteed Prize Pool contests.

The Cowboys are the worst team against the TE, and with Jordan Reed back, and with McCoy looking for a security blanket, Reed’s $4,000 salary looks like a real bargain, and perhaps the best Redskins player to own this week.

Before moving onto the negative games, there is one more game to mention, the Thursday Night Game between the San Diego Chargers and the Denver Broncos (Over/Under 51). 

Since this is the Thursday Night Game, these players can only be used in contests that include this game.  These contests are usually a bit smaller, but there is still good money to be made.

Bottom line on this game: USE ALL THE DENVER PLAYERS!!!!!  Peyton Manning and the Broncos are working like a will oiled machine and the Chargers should not be able to stop the Broncos at home at Mile High. One note on Ronnie Hillman ($4,900), while the Chargers are solid against the run, they are dead last against RBs in the passing game.  Hillman caught 4 passes last week on his way to a 26 fantasy point week.  At his price he is a great play in the Flex.

For the Chargers, Philip Rivers has gotten it done, and with having to keep up with Peyton, Rivers could put up huge numbers.  His receivers, Allen, Floyd and Royal, are all in the low $4,000s and all have value as WR3 or Flex in this high-scoring matchup.  Brandon Oliver probably has one more week of the backfield to himself before Ryan Matthews returns, but in a game where points are flying, the Chargers may have to abandon the run, so his salary might be a bit high.  Despite his higher price, Antonio Gates at $5,600 could be the play.

Now, on to the games to avoid:

NEGATIVE GAMES: (Remember, a negative game does not mean that all players will stink and not put up fantasy numbers, it just means that there is generally better value to be had elsewhere)

Minnesota Vikings @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers:

If this game was in Minnesota, it would probably be a higher scoring game.  But at home the Buccaneers have been a more solid defense (the week 6 game versus the Ravens, notwithstanding), and the Vikings defense is also solid. 

Most of the players are inexpensive in the game, but aside from possibly Jerick McKinnon at $4,900, there are other players in the same price range available in games that are not shaping up to a defensive game with few fantasy point available.

Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets:

The Jets run defense is legit, so leave the mess that is the Bills backfield on the bench, yes they are cheap, but if the Jets defense comes to play, they could produce like cheap RBs, i.e. fewer than 10 fantasy points. 

The Jets can be had through the air, so Sammy Watkins does look good at $5,700, he and Orton definitely seem to have developed a rapport and Watkins could light it up again this week.  Orton is also an option at $6,300, if you want to go cheap at QB and stack up with higher priced RBs and WRs.

Like the Jets, the Bills are extremely strong versus the run, having allowed only 442 rushing yards this season and zero touchdowns to RBs.  At $5,000 versus this defense, Chris Ivory is not an option this week.  Geno Smith has not topped 20 fantasy points this season, not worth his $5,700 salary.  However, like the Jets, the Bills can be had through the air (ranked 24^th versus WRs), making Eric Decker at $4,600 an interesting play.  There is risk here, since he does have Geno throwing him the ball, but with Percy Harvin adding another weapon in the passing game, Decker could see less double coverage and rack up some points versus the Bills porous secondary. 

That leaves Percy Harvin to consider.  Fantasy Players have been waiting all season for Harvin to “go off”, is this the week?  I honestly don’t know, but at $4,100, if you are stacked up everywhere else and have $4,100 left for a WR3 or Flex he could be just the right High Risk/High Reward player to put in your lineup in the Guaranteed Prize Pool contests.

Well, that is it for this week, remember to do your research, look for more daily fantasy articles in the upcoming days, and good luck in big, huge, life changing Millionaire Maker Daily Fantasy Contest.  Remember with this offer, all you need do is make a $25 deposit that you can use any way you like and you get a FREE $27 entry and with that entry by around 1130pm on Monday, you could be a MILLIIONAIRE!!!

If you have any questions, comments or just want to talk fantasy, hit me up on Twitter or Facebook, you can use the links below to get in touch.

Good luck this weekend!!!

Beaudog

Woof!!

Do you play Fantasy Football? If the answer is yes, this week you will again have one of the most exciting opportunities in the history of the game. Win a MILLION DOLLARS playing Fantasy Football this week!! When you open a new account at https://linkonym.appspot.com/?http://http://www.footballnation.com/content/daily-fantasy-week-7-shootouts-and-defensive-struggles/31579/www.ffchamps.com/million and make an initial deposit of $25 (or more), this week you will also receive a FREE $27 ENTRY into this week’s Millionaire Maker contest.  Simply go to www.FFChamps.com/million and get in on the action. 

Hi Daily Fantasy Veterans and Rookies, 

Week 6 delivered another extraordinary week and Draft Kings crowned another $1,000,000 winner.  Joe Flacco, yes that Joe Flacco threw five TDs in the first half while racking up 35.2 fantasy points.  His team mate, Steve Smith Sr. pulled in one of the touchdowns, while posting 25 fantasy points for the day.  Jquave76 had both of these players in his lineup and they helped bring him home the $1,000,000 first prize.  Congratulation Jquave!!!!!!! Enjoy those big bucks! 

Hopefully you had both these studs in your lineups too, but since this is Daily Fantasy, our teams that took us into the money are no more and we once again, will be building our team from the ground up. 

For two weeks now, $1,000,000 has been up for grabs in Daily Fantasy, and this week will be no different as once again you will have a shot at a cool million bucks in the Millionaire Maker contest at Draft Kings.  As with last week, FFChamps is again giving you an amazing offer, simply click on this link, register for an account and make a $25 deposit and you will receive a FREE $27 entry into the Millionaire Maker contest and a FREE membership (a $59.95 value) to FFChamps.com.

To help you set the optimal team (and hopefully take home the MILLION BUCKS) each week we look for those games that the odds makers in Vegas see as high scoring affairs, which means a lot of fantasy points should be racked up, and which should be low scoring games where the points will be hard to come by.  

Last week, the game with the highest Over/Under was Chicago Bears @ Atlanta Falcons, at 53 points.  While Atlanta seemingly forgot to show up, our Bears players showed up big time racking up the points for us:  Jay Cutler came in at 25.3; Matt Forte despite his high price tag totally delivered with 37.7 points; and both Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffery performed well with 20.3 and 21.6 points, respectively.

To check out the first article of this series for a complete description of the strategy: CLICK HERE

Our bye week teams this week are the Philadelphia Eagles and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.  While the Buccaneers are no great loss, we will miss the high scoring Eagles, especially after LeSean McCoy’s big week and the continuing growth of Nick Foles. 

Here we go: Looking at Week Seven, there is only one game that reaches the 50 point over/under threshold.  There are several games at 49 and I will address them briefly after looking in depth at our “star” game. 

Over/Under with Positive Impact on Value: TARGET PLAYERS ON THESE TEAMS THIS WEEK

For our negative games we normally look for games under 42 points.  This week there is none that low, so we stretched our parameters slightly, to games less than 44 points.

Over/Under with Negative Impact on Value: AVOID PLAYERS ON THESE TEAMS THIS WEEK

Basic strategy with the above information is to look for studs and lower priced value in the “POSITIVE” games and look to avoid most but not all of the players in the “NEGATIVE” games.

Now with our tools (FFC Strength of Schedule, FF Champs Defense Stats Allowed , The FFCPI and the FFC Daily Fantasy Rank Tool) primed and ready to go, we can now review our target games and make some decisions and look for value:

 POSITIVE GAMES:

San Francisco 49ers @ Denver Broncos:

The Broncos have been getting it done all season and there is no reason to suspect they will not continue to do so.  The first player who really stands out is Julius Thomas at $6,900 and an average 21.7 FFPG.  While he is the highest priced TE, stick him in the Flex and use him at a WR surrogate.  The Niners have allowed 17 and 21 fantasy points to TEs versus the Chiefs and the Rams in their last two games and with their continuing problems at LB, most recently the injury to Patrick Willis on Monday night, Thomas and Manning should have a field day.

Peyton Manning and Demaryius Thomas are pricey, but there is no denying their point production, a lineup with these two always has the chance to blow up.  After a down week, Emanuel Sanders gets a slight price reduction and looks attractive at $5,900.

For the Niners, it is a good thing that they played on Monday Night, as we can benefit from the fact that pricing is set prior to the Monday Night game so Colin Kaepernick comes in at only $6,500, despite the 32 point performance his posted on Monday versus the Rams.  With only one sub-15 point performance this season (week 5 versus the Chiefs – 14 points), Kaepernick is great value at $6,500, even against a solid Broncos defense.

Aside from Kaepernick, it is difficult to decide who else to play: Is Gore good at $4,800 or will he have a limited number of snaps?; Does Carlos Hyde get a game to show what his can do?; and with Brandon Lloyd ($3,000) and Stevie Johnson ($3,300) sniping targets, it’s hard to know how Anquan Boldin ($4,500) and Michael Crabtree ($4,900) will do.  With that said, with their relatively inexpensive pricing, all of the Niners WRs can fit into lineups in the WR3 and/or Flex slot and potentially provide big numbers for low price.

Before moving onto the negative games, there are several games with an over/under around 49 points.  Those games include: Bengals @ Colts; Dolphins @ Bears; and Falcons @ Ravens.  All of these games have major studs who should be considered for your lineups, including: Gio Bernard, Andrew Luck, TY Hilton, Mohamed Sanu, Lemar Miller (with Moreno out), Cutler, Forte, Marshall, Jeffrey, Julio Jones, Torrey Smith and Steve Smith, Sr., and, I can’t believe I am saying this, Joe Flacco.  No I don’t think he will throw 5 TDs again, but against the Falcons two or three TDs are not out of the question.

A couple of QB/WR stacks are very attractive here, specifically; Luck/Hilton; Cutler/Marshall/Jeffrey, you may even want to through Forte in here and go with a “Bears” lineup; a bit riskier would be a Flacco/one of the Smiths. 

Now, on to the games to avoid: 

NEGATIVE GAMES: (Remember, a negative game does not mean that all players will stink and not put up fantasy numbers, it just means that there is generally better value to be had elsewhere)

Minnesota Vikings @ Buffalo Bills:

The Bills are number one against the run, allowing less than 70 yards per game, so sit your Viking Running Backs, but can be had in the passing game (ranked 26^th), so Jarius Wright could be interesting for a flex play at $3,400. 

The Vikings’ defense is the opposite, #6 versus the pass and 20^th versus the run.  While the Vikings can be run on, the Bills run a true backfield by committee, so it’s hard to commit to either Fred Jackson at a somewhat pricey $5,500 or CJ Spiller who despite his low $3,700 price tag, has just not got it done this year (9.7 FFPG average).  While the Vikings are good versus the pass, at $4,800, Sammy Watkins might be a play at WR3.

Seattle Seahawks @ St. Louis Rams:

The Vegas boys think this game will be low scoring, and it very well could be with the Seahawks on the road and the Rams being, well, the Rams, however I would not be afraid to use a few of the players in this game, purely based on pricing. 

Russell Wilson put up 37 fantasy points in his last road game, I know it was against the Redskins, but the points were there.  At $6,800, strangely enough, he could be a sneaky play.  At $7,100, Marshawn Lynch could be too cheap to pass up, but just remember, last year, the Rams held him to 23 yards. 

As for the Rams, Jared Cook at $3,600 is a possible low priced TE versus the 24^th ranked Seahawks.  Otherwise, Brian Quick is a bit too high priced at $6,000 and the Rams’ backfield has turned into a 2 or even 3 headed monster, making Zac Stacy, even at $4,300 too expensive.

Well, that is it for this week, remember to do your research, look for more daily fantasy articles in the upcoming days, and good luck in big, huge, life changing Millionaire Maker Daily Fantasy Contest.  Remember with this offer, all you need do is make a $25 deposit that you can use any way you like and you get a FREE $27 entry and with that entry by around 1130pm on Monday, you could be a MILLIONAIRE!!!

If you have any questions, comments or just want to talk fantasy, hit me up on Twitter or Facebook, you can use the links below to get in touch.

Good luck this weekend!!!

Beaudog

Woof!!